LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has played 34.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Lakers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.4).
The 4th-speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to raise plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 21.3 mark, LeBron James's field goal attempts have dropped this season to 18.1 per game.
LeBron James has attempted a measly 5.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly lower than his 6.8 mark last season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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