LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 6, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James rates in the 98th percentile for shots from the field scored, averaging a massive 9.4 per game this year.
LeBron James has sunk 2.1 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.
LeBron James has averaged 34.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's superb 124.3 points per game rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Charlotte is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Charlotte Hornets are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (8.7).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Hornets (lengthening possessions that can generate more chances for offense).
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
LeBron James will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production for all stats.