LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has sunk 9.3 baskets per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
LeBron James has successfully made 2.1 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
LeBron James has played 34.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile.
In regard to offense, the Lakers's excellent 124.2 points per game settles in as the strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. New York is a tough one for three-pointers; when the New York Knicks are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have posted the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (18.6%).
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. New York is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are at home (11th-least in the league).
LeBron James will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production for all stats.

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