LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has sunk 9.3 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James lands in the 85th percentile for 3-point shots hit, putting up 2.1 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.4 minutes per game this year.
With respect to shooting, the Lakers's remarkable 126.0 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 field goal attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, branding this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Golden State is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage (7th-least in the NBA).
LeBron James will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduce player production across the board.

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