LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 3:34 AM UTC

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should boost opportunities for the Lakers.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James measures in the 94th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, putting up a whopping 5.7 free throws per game this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 10.7 rate, LeBron James's field goals sunk have fallen this season to 9.2 per game.
In contrast to last year's 6.8 rate, LeBron James's 3-point attempts have fallen this year to 5.4 per game.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 14th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (25.5%).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has come down with 13.4 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce bonus opportunities for offense).

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