LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James slots into the 84th percentile for three-point attempts, compiling 5.5 per game this year.
LeBron James has tallied 34.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Lakers have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
LeBron James has attempted 5.7 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.
As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line: 6th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 24.5 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 10.7 mark, LeBron James's shots sunk have diminished this year to 9.4 per game.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 27.2% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the league) vs. the Clippers, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
The Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Clippers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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