LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
When it comes to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 48.8% field goal rate ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home.
LeBron James figures to see a rise in production for all stats on account of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 10.7 mark, LeBron James's shots from the field made have declined this year to 9.4 per game.
Relative to last season's 6.8 clip, LeBron James's shots from behind the three-point arc have been reduced this season to 5.4 per game.
LeBron James has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.
This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 11.3 shot attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The Hornets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.

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