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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

LeBron James has made an impressive 39.9% of his three-point attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 28.9 mark last year.

LeBron James has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 15.4 field goal attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The 5th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 10.7 rate, LeBron James's shots from the field scored have diminished this season to 9.3 per game.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team has captured 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (retaining possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

LeBron James should experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.

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