LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 3:43 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has converted an impressive 2.8 threes per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.3 mark last season.
LeBron James has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Lakers check in as the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.
While at home, the Rockets have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 10.7 clip, LeBron James's shots from the field drained have diminished this year to 9.3 per game.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 41.9% on field goals (14th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a hard matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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