LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 21.3 clip, LeBron James's shots from the field have diminished this year to 17.0 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 17 games.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one for three-pointers; when the 76ers are away from home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 21st-most three-pointers per game in the league since the start of last season (1.6).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.

Favors Under

LeBron James has accumulated 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.7 fouls per game last year.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the 76ers (retaining possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).
LeBron James has converted a lowly 62.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 79.7 mark last year.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game this year when the 76ers are on the road (6th-least in the league).