LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:37 PM UTC

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, LeBron James places in the 98th percentile for shots while at home, averaging 20.4 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James rates in the 90th percentile for shot attempts from downtown with the home court advantage, putting up 6.7 per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.8 minutes per game since the start of last season.
In terms of scoring, the Lakers's outstanding 116.1 points per game while on the road rates 9th-best in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Clippers is a good one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs since the start of last season (17.7).

Favors Under

The Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league away from their home stadium since the start of last season, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 7thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 9.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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