LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 12, 2023

Updated May 13, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 20.8 shots per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
LeBron James has played 35.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Warriors is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.8).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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