LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 2, 2023

Updated May 2, 2023 2:36 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 21.7 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
LeBron James has attempted 8.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
LeBron James has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Lakers.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year in terms of 3-pointers.
The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one; they have allowed the 7th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs over the last 20 games (13.8).
The Warriors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
LeBron James will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production across the board.

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