LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 22.8 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
LeBron James has successfully made 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's made from three in all games this year on his home court.
LeBron James has averaged 35.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup against Pat Connaughton is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; when Connaughton is away from his home court and guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted just 4.1 3-pointers per game (93rd percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of threes.
The Bucks have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Pat Connaughton is a good one for drawing fouls; when guarding opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.5 free throws per game (24th percentile).

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