LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 23.0 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
LeBron James has attempted 9.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
LeBron James has tallied 36.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile.
This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; when the Thunder are the visiting team, their opposition have compiled the 5th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA against them this year (46.5%).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-pointers.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Thunder are on the road, opposing starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (28.7%).
The Thunder have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.
The Thunder have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted just 27.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Thunder are the visting squad (least in the NBA).