LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 22, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has posted 34.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's posted overall this season.
LeBron James has attempted 8.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
LeBron James has averaged 35.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year while playing on the road.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

Favors Under

LeBron James has sunk a measly 1.9 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 2.9 mark last season.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a hard one for scoring; playing at home, the other team have averaged the 9th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (42.0).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Lakers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Trail Blazers.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a hard one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have totaled the least 3-pointers per game in the NBA since the start of last season (1.1).

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