LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 8.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
LeBron James has averaged 35.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- [PUTTING_HIM_AMONG_THE_MOST_UTILIZED_PLAYERS] [IN_THE_LEAGUE].
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.
Away from home, the Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (which also create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

LeBron James has attempted just 6.7 three-point shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 8.0 rate last year.
LeBron James has made a mere 2.0 three-pointers per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 2.9 mark last season.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a measly 24.5 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one for 3-pointers; without the home court advantage, their opposition have shot for the 4th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (38.1%).
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

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