LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 1:33 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -166.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 28.9% clip, LeBron James's three-point proficiency has increased this year to 38.8%.
LeBron James has averaged 34.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James lands in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.2 fouls per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 5.2 three attempts per game (23rd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.

Favors Under

LeBron James has attempted a mere 5.3 3-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 6.8 mark last year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 5 games, the other team has nabbed 14.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

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