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LeBron James

LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

LeBron James has made an impressive 39.9% of his three-point attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 28.9 mark last year.

LeBron James has attempted 6.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

LeBron James has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The 5th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 0.0 rate, LeBron James's technical fouls have surged this season to 0.2 per game.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 24.6% on 3-pointers (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a hard matchup.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team has captured 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (retaining possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

LeBron James should experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.

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