LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:21 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-164/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -159 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 6.8 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.
LeBron James has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league when playing away from home this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Rockets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.
While playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases stat production across the board.

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