Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2026

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Lauri Markkanen

NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Utah Jazz · Jan 3, 2026

Updated Jan 4, 2026 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lauri Markkanen has posted an impressive 27.7 points per game this season, quite a bit more than his 19.0 points per game last season.
The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the highest three rate in the league this year (47.0%).
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should boost plays for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Utah Jazz's unimpressive 111.1 points per game when playing away from home ranks 8th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Warriors have the home court advantage (9th-least in the league).

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