Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2024

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Lauri Markkanen

NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 14, 2024

Updated Nov 15, 2024 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lauri Markkanen has registered 22.5 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 93rd percentile.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).
The Jazz have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Jazz rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Lauri Markkanen has made 4.5 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Jazz's subpar 105.7 points per game settles in as the lowest in the NBA this year.
The Utah Jazz will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.

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