Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Lauri Markkanen

NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 8, 2023 11:18 PM UTC

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 7.7 rate, Lauri Markkanen's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this season to 9.8 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Lauri Markkanen lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
Since the start of last season, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 49.4% on shot attempts from the field (28th-best in the NBA) against the Pacers, identifying this as a good matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Lauri Markkanen has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this year at home.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team has brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (maintaining possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense).
Lauri Markkanen has sunk just 3.5 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 5.3 mark last season.

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