Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 1.6 offensive rebounds per game at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 0.0 clip, Larry Nance Jr.'s technical fouls have spiked this season to 0.1 per game.
The Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the other team has snagged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).
Larry Nance Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens stat production across the board.

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