Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has made 3.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's sunk overall this season.
Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 41.2% of his 3-point attempts while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.
Larry Nance Jr. has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's played overall this season.
The Pelicans check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. should suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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