Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile for shooting efficiency with a stellar 57.7% rate this year.
Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 66.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's converted from three overall this year away from his home court.
Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 24.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
As it relates to shooting, the Pelicans's fantastic 117.7 points per game as the road team places 7th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.
The Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats due to being on the road in this contest.

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