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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made a whopping 41.7% of his three-point shots this season, quite a bit more than his 33.0 mark last season.

This year, opposing squads have totaled 28.9 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a tough matchup.

The Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Larry Nance Jr. will likely see a rise in production across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Larry Nance Jr. has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

While playing away from home, the Pacers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. slots into the 18th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a a bad 64.1% rate this year.

This year, the other team has attempted 26.3 free throws per game (most in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

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