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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has made 63.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.8% more than he's converted in all games this season on his home court.
  • Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 64.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 18.1% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season while on his home court.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 6.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's tallied overall this year.
  • In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans.
  • This matchup is a favorable one for three-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games (38.3).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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