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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 70.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 10.2% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

This matchup is a tough one for shots from the field; the other team has put up the 8th-lowest FG% in the league over the last 5 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are playing at home (45.9%).

The Pelicans will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bucks).

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 27.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pelicans rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

The 4th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

Playing at home, the Bucks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Bucks have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 23.2 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (most in the NBA).

Larry Nance Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player performance across the board.

More Larry Nance Jr. Player Props

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