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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 65.0% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 15.0% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.

In contrast to last season's 2.1 mark, Larry Nance Jr.'s personal fouls per game have declined this season to 1.2.

This matchup is a tough one for scoring; when the Thunder are on the road, their opposition has posted the lowest field goal rate in the league against them this year (45.4%).

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This year, opposing squads have captured 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have attempted 26.8 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

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