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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. slots into the 91st percentile for field goal efficiency with a an excellent 59.7% rate since the start of last season.
  • The 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
  • Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).
  • As a team, the Pelicans have been very successful at drawing fouls as the home team: 10th-best in the NBA since the start of last season, tallying 24.5 foul shot attempts per game.
  • Since the start of last season, opposing squads have attempted 22.2 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Larry Nance Jr. has converted 22.9% of his three-point attempts away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Larry Nance Jr. has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
  • The Pelicans have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
  • Larry Nance Jr. stands to experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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