Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers · Apr 1, 2023

Updated Apr 2, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 76.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 15.4% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Clippers is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have averaged the 9th-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (32.5).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home.
The Clippers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Clippers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; when the Clippers are the visiting team, opposing clubs have attempted a massive 24.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the NBA).

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