Larry Nance Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-425).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 33.0% rate, Larry Nance Jr.'s 3-point prowess has spiked this year to 50.0%.
This matchup is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged the 9th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (33.1).
The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.
Larry Nance Jr. ought to see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 20.8 rate, Larry Nance Jr.'s playing time has dropped this year to 16.2 minutes per game.
Among all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. comes in at the 80th percentile for technical fouls, putting up an enormous 0.0 fouls per game this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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