Larry Nance Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (84th percentile).
The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.
Larry Nance Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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