LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2025

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Oct 28, 2025

Updated Oct 29, 2025 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-102/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 6th-best in in the league with 12.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Charlotte Hornets's poor 106.1 points per game measures as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which should reduce possessions for the Hornets.

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