LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM UTC

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 19.2 clip, LaMelo Ball's field goal attempts have jumped this season to 23.1 per game.
LaMelo Ball has attempted 12.6 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 9.0 rate last year.
Among all players in the league, LaMelo Ball comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making this a good matchup.
The Charlotte Hornets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Cavaliers).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, LaMelo Ball measures in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 3.6 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The 10th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Hornets.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).
LaMelo Ball will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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