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LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2024

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets

 
 
 
LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • LaMelo Ball has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have posted 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 7thbest in in the league as the away team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 19 games.
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • LaMelo Ball has successfully made an impressive 4.3 free throws per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.8 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last season's 10.6 mark, LaMelo Ball's 3-point attempts have tailed off this season to 8.9 per game.
  • Among all players in the league, LaMelo Ball places in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 3.7 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • When it comes to shooting, the Hornets's unimpressive 106.9 points per game comes in as the lowest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • The Hornets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Charlotte Hornets.

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