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LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, LaMelo Ball slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 30.0 minutes per game this year.

The speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Charlotte Hornets.

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, opposing teams have grabbed 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more chances for offense).

LaMelo Ball has converted an impressive 5.0 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.9 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 10.6 rate, LaMelo Ball's shots from behind the three-point arc have declined this season to 8.0 per game.

LaMelo Ball has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league playing at home this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. Miami is a tough one for field goal attempts; when the Heat are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 13th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (13.1).

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