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LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • LaMelo Ball has made 4.3 treys per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's converted in all games this season.
  • LaMelo Ball has averaged 32.2 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Charlotte Hornets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • While on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • LaMelo Ball has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • LaMelo Ball has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 15th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (29.5%).
  • The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Hornets.
  • As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home, totaling a measly 17.4 free throw attempts per game.

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