LaMelo Ball Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Made 3 Point Shots

Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 10:41 PM UTC

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LaMelo Ball has attempted 10.3 three-point shots per game at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, LaMelo Ball slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.1 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA playing at home since the start of last season.
The Hornets are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from being pitted against the fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).

Favors Under

LaMelo Ball has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
As it relates to shots from downtown, the Charlotte Hornets's unimpressive 32.8% rate of successful threes with the home court advantage places 2nd-fewest in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 5.3 three attempts per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Pacers, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The Pacers have given up the most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
LaMelo Ball stands to suffer a reduction in performance across the board as a result of being on the road in this game.