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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Rebounds
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Kyle Lowry Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -167.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has averaged 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

Kyle Lowry has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 76th percentile.

Kyle Lowry will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally increases player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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