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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Kyle Lowry Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has averaged 3.8 defensive rebounds per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.

Kyle Lowry has played 31.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 84th percentile.

Kyle Lowry will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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