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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has made 1.8 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA.

In regard to threes, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.4% rate of drained threes ranks 3rd-most in the league this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

This year, opposing squads have snagged 10.1 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Kyle Lowry has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The matchup vs. the Raptors is a difficult one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1).

The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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