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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has successfully made 53.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 11.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

With respect to three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 13.1 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 9th-most in the league over the last 10 games.

Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have registered 29.2 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Suns, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.

The Suns have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

The Suns have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Kyle Lowry ranks in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league when playing on the road this year.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry is expected to see a decline in productivity across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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