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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has sunk 46.0% of his 3-pointers while playing at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.

In regard to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's outstanding 39.8% rate of sunk threes settles in as the strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a strong one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 26th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hawks).

Kyle Lowry has sunk 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's converted overall this year while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry measures in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (10th-least in the league).

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