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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has made a whopping 45.4% of his three-point attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 35.4 rate last season.

With respect to shooting, the Heat's impressive 123.4 points per game ranks 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (29.8).

The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Miami Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (88th percentile).

The Heat rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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