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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 35.4% clip, Kyle Lowry's three-point performance has jumped this season to 45.1%.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while at home this year.

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 32.8 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Pacers, marking this as a good matchup for offensive performance.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Heat.

Kyle Lowry has converted a whopping 100.0% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit more than his 94.9 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.8 fouls per game while on the road this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have collected 13.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pacers (lengthening possessions that can spark further chances for offense).

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