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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has put up an impressive 11.2 points per game this season, significantly higher than his 10.1 points per game last season.

Compared to last year's 1.9 clip, Kyle Lowry's three-point shots hit have risen this year to 2.7 per game.

With respect to three-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 38.2% rate of successful threes while playing at home rates 4th-best in the league this year.

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

The matchup against Brooklyn is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.2 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Brooklyn Nets are on the road (23rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The matchup against the Nets is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (35.4%).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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