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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 11/16/2023

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on their home court this year.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (losing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Kyle Lowry has made a terrific 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly more than his 88.8 rate last year.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.3 free throws per game (21st-most in the league) vs. the Nets, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Kyle Lowry figures to see a rise in production in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 42.7% rate, Kyle Lowry's scoring ability has diminished this season to 24.6%.

Kyle Lowry has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (78th percentile).

The matchup against Brooklyn is a hard one for scoring; when the Brooklyn Nets are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the league since the start of last season (41.7%).

The Miami Heat have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the 9th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

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