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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 11/3/2023

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Heat's outstanding 12.4 successful threes per game as the road team rates 9th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

This matchup is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Wizards are at home, opposing teams have compiled the 10th-lowest field goal rate in the league against them since the start of last season (47.5%).

The matchup against Washington is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Wizards are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (14.8).

Out of all players in the league, Kyle Lowry rates in the 94th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a a great 88.8% rate since the start of last season.

Kyle Lowry will likely see a spike in performance across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry lands in the 82nd percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off-target 3-point shots, registering an enormous 3.2 per game since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the league, Kyle Lowry ranks in the 75th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season.

The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing teams have nabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards (maintaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).

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